US
US Economy
Topic
42.3%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 15
Pending: 349
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Prediction that America is entering a 'debt death spiral'.
"America's entering a debt death spiral."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Apollo predicts economic growth will occur in the near future due to trade deals, new government policies, and a turning economic corner.
"And now because of the trade deals because of the new government policies because things have finall..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Continued spending and a non-recessionary economic slowdown suggest overall economic growth.
"And when you couple this, the spending that's still happening along with this growth, which has cool..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
The US economy is softening but not entering recession territory after a period of high growth.
"The economy is not tipping into recession territory. It's just softening after years of outsized gai..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Spending growth for lower-income households is soft, with negative year-over-year total card spending growth.
"lower income household spending growth is particularly soft with their total card spending growth ne..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Apollo suggests that despite a slowdown in growth, spending, and the job market, the US economy will see growth due to trade deals and new government policies, following a natural post-pandemic adjustment.
"So, we have some interesting news here where it says, yeah, growth is slowing, but it's not going in..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Average US household to incur $2,400 in additional costs in 2025 due to tariffs.
"The Yale University Budget Lab announced on Monday that U.S. consumers face an effective tariff rate..."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
Given recent data revisions, there's skepticism about whether the 73,000 jobs added in July are an accurate figure, suggesting further downward revisions are possible.
"And after what we just learned, you kind of have to ask yourself, is 73,000 jobs actually 7,000 jobs..."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
A 23% cut to Social Security benefits would remove $300 billion from the US economy.
"a 23% benefit cut to social security is projected to remove $300 billion from the US economy."
Aug 1, 2025
Pending
A 23% cut to Social Security benefits is projected to remove $300 billion from the US economy.
"In total, a 23% benefit cut to social security is projected to remove $300 billion from the US econo..."
Aug 1, 2025
Pending
US consumers are predicted to continue buying less from overseas and spending more domestically.
"Uh yeah, I think Yeah, I think we're trending in that direction. Buy less and spend more."
Jul 30, 2025
Pending
The US is approaching a 'debt death spiral' where it needs to borrow money to pay interest on existing debt, leading to a loss of confidence in holding US debt.
"The debt death spiral is that part of the cycle when you when the uh debtor needs to borrow money in..."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
The United States is predicted to enter a 'debt death spiral'.
"America's entering a debt death spiral."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
Economic pain is predicted due to three specific reasons related to US debt.
"This is going to come with economic pain because of three reasons."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
The US may need to borrow money solely to pay interest on existing debt.
"Sorry to all of you dentists, but this is where Ray Dalio says we're going to be entering a time whe..."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
An interest rate cut is likely in September 2025.
"September actually does weight towards our favor for an interest rate cut."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
If the US government refinances its debt at current interest rates, it will lead to an uncontrollable debt spiral.
"if they have to refinance this level of debt at the current interest rates, that's where the debt sp..."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
The US economy is entering a 'debt death spiral' due to national debt growing faster than the economy.
"America's entering a debt death spiral. And according to him, this is going to come with economic pa..."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve's delayed stimulus will lead to a more severe economic slowdown.
"I think we're going to see that the Fed will actually is going to cause a, a harder slowdown because..."
Jul 19, 2025
Pending
Individual tax cuts will increase disposable income, boosting US consumer spending and GDP.
"this will increase disposable income. Americans have more disposable income, they can spend more. So..."
Jul 6, 2025
Pending
Maturing US debt in the next three months (from June 30, 2025) will be refinanced using short-term lending rates until an interest rate cut.
"There's also a lot of debt that actually matures in the next three months, and the debt needs to be ..."
Jun 30, 2025
Pending
If the S&P 500 makes a lower low in August-September 2025, it will likely lead to a recession in 2026.
"If the S&P rolls over here into August, September, like it has in some of those prior post-election ..."
Jun 19, 2025
Pending
The 'big beautiful bill' is predicted to cause a US debt crisis.
"It's going to trigger US debt crisis."
Jun 13, 2025
Pending
Paul Tudor Jones predicts that US policymakers will pursue a strategy of low real interest rates, high inflation, and increased taxation on American consumers to manage the national debt.
"if I'm a policy maker I'm going to run really low real rates. I'm going to have inflation running ho..."
Jun 11, 2025
Pending
If Section 899 taxes are implemented, the cost of investment in the US for foreigners is predicted to rise, reducing inbound investment, shrinking US capital stock, decreasing labor productivity, and lowering wages.
"The immediate effect of these taxes would be to raise the cost of investment in the United States fo..."
Jun 11, 2025
Pending
Jaime Diamond predicts the US economy will inevitably experience a significant 'crack' or crisis.
"Something will crack, he said bluntly. Not if, but when."
Jun 7, 2025
Pending
Elon Musk argued that Donald Trump's global tariff plan would cause a US recession.
"...argued that Trumps global tariff plan would trigger a US recession..."
Jun 7, 2025
Pending
Proponents of the new tax bill predict it will stimulate economic growth, offset tax cuts, and not increase the national deficit.
"proponents of the bill say that it will stimulate growth, which will offset the tax cuts, and it won..."
Jun 7, 2025
Pending
Elon Musk predicts Trump's tariffs will cause a recession in the second half of 2025.
"Elon has now said that the Trump tariffs will cause a second rec or will cause a recession in the se..."
Jun 6, 2025
Pending
Elon Musk predicts that Trump's tariffs will cause a recession in the second half of 2025.
"Trump's tariffs will call a recession in the second half of this year."
Jun 6, 2025
Pending
The US government is predicted to print more money to cover a $2.5 trillion spend, leading to currency devaluation.
"Because the only way that the US can get themselves out of this $2.5 trillion in spend is effectivel..."
Jun 4, 2025
Pending
Continued tariffs will likely lead to increased inflation for US consumers or cause US businesses (importers) to reduce profits and potentially fail.
"They either take the hit of the tariff and eat it themselves, but most businesses won't do that. It ..."
Jun 3, 2025
Pending
The stock market will be negatively affected by the US bond market's need to refinance debt by the end of 2025. If the 10-year Treasury yield approaches 5% due to the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates, it will lead to higher borrowing costs, a slowing economy, and increased inflation, creating a 'recipe for disaster'.
"The bond market's a really big focus for the United States because they need to refinance their debt..."
May 28, 2025
Pending
The US economy is heading towards a depression, primarily due to an impending bond market crash caused by the nation's $36 trillion debt and reliance on money printing ('the big print').
"Moody's just downgraded our debt which is why this is coming next. It's called the big print because..."
May 28, 2025
Pending
Higher interest rates will choke off the US economy by raising rates for mortgages and corporate bonds.
"And that higher interest rate is going to choke off the economy. Raising rates for mortgages and cor..."
May 27, 2025
Pending
The speaker believes the US economy could face stagflation (high unemployment, slow economic growth, high inflation).
"we very well could have stagflation. Like I think stagflation is a very real uh thing that could hap..."
May 26, 2025
Pending
The US economy is predicted to enter a period of stagflation (high inflation and low growth).
"I think it's much worse than a recession. I think it's going to be stackflation. I think it's going ..."
May 16, 2025
Pending
The US economy will soon face deflation, not inflation, due to the Federal Reserve's policy.
"Paul is going to have a very very big problem very very soon and it's not going to be inflation, it'..."
May 16, 2025
Pending
The US economy was predicted to slow down, causing the market to decline around July-August 2025.
"we're going to get a slowdown in the in the US economy... and that'll bring the market down around J..."
May 13, 2025
Pending
Subsequent economic reports will continue to show the US economy contracting and facing uncertainty.
"our economy is actually growing. It's still contracting and there's still a lot of uncertainty and I..."
May 13, 2025
Pending
The US economy is predicted to grow over the next 10, 20, and 30 years.
"I believe that the economy is going to continue growing over the next 10, 20, 30 years as well."
May 10, 2025
Pending
If the US breaches its debt ceiling, Goldman Sachs (Goldmax) predicts a 10% halt in economic activity and over 3 million job losses.
"Goldmax estimates that a breach could halt 10% of economic activity and result in more than 3 millio..."
May 5, 2025
Pending
Empty shelves are expected by the end of May, likely due to a drop in consumption.
"by the end of May there will be quote empty shelves"
May 4, 2025
Pending
US port activity is predicted to stop from early to mid-May.
"activity at US ports will grind to a halt by early to midmay"
May 4, 2025
Pending
If tariffs on China are less severe than previously presented, adverse market effects are expected to reverse quickly.
"if the tariffs on China are not as severe as the ones Trump proudly presented after Liberation Day t..."
May 4, 2025
Pending
The US economy is predicted to enter a recession by the summer.
"Torston expects the US economy to enter a recession by the summer"
May 4, 2025
Pending
Further economic weakening due to tariff concerns could be the trigger for a US recession.
"any further weakening due to tariff concerns could in fact be the thing that tips the US economy int..."
May 4, 2025
Pending
A sharp decline in inflation will be accompanied by a sharp decline in economic growth.
"the caveat though is that this will be accompanied by a sharp decline in economic growth"
May 4, 2025
Pending
A 90% chance of recession starting by summer is predicted if tariffs on China remain at current levels; a reduction in tariffs could alleviate negative impacts.
"if the tariffs on China are reduced then most of the bad stuff is likely to go away however he warne..."
May 4, 2025
Pending
280,000 layoffs by Doge are expected to cause a spike in unemployment.
"280,000 people had been laid off by Doge in theory uh this means unemployment is about to spike"
May 4, 2025
Pending